S2F Weekly Trades — Feb 9–13, 2026

Michael Marsee

Michael Marsee

— 4 min read
S2F Weekly Trades — Feb 9–13, 2026

Trading 4 very simple and well researched setups: Dinner, EarlyBird, Americano, and Swiper.
Each play defines a researched time-based range, then I trade breakouts from that range using stop entry orders and calculated risk.

Monday February 09, 2026

Dinner | MGC | Late Long Opportunity | Held inside range most of session; valid long trigger appeared at end of trade window.
EarlyBird | NG | Clean Short | Short side offered the best R expansion.
Americano | YM | Dual Stop | Same candle swept both sides of the range; breakout failed in both directions.
Swiper | MNQ | Clean Long | Break above range held with steady continuation.

Monday Total: +2.26R | W–L–NT: 2–1–1
Wins: EarlyBird, Swiper | Loss: Americano | No Trade: Dinner

Tuesday February 10, 2026

06:30 MST Core Retail Sales & Retail Sales

Dinner | MGC | No Trade | Second range-bound day
EarlyBird | NG | Clean Long | Rejection at range lows led to strong expansion.
Americano | YM | Clean Long | Strong breakout held above range with sustained expansion
Swiper | MNQ | Clean Long | Early breakout expanded quickly but stalled

Tuesday Total: +6.54R | W–L–NT: 3–0–1
Wins: EarlyBird, Americano, Swiper | No Trade: Dinner

Wednesday February 11, 2026

06:30 MST Average Hourly Earnings, Non-Farm Employment Change, Unemployment Rate.

Dinner | MGC | Clean Long | Break above range led to strong expansion before sharp reversal
EarlyBird | NG | Short Sweep → Long Breakout | Initial downside break failed, followed by strong upside expansion from the range.
Americano | YM | Dual Stop → Short Trend | Both sides were swept early before strong downside expansion took control.
Swiper | MNQ | Clean Short | Early range rejection led to sustained downside expansion.

Wednesday Total: +11.15R | W–L–NT: 3–1–0
Wins: Dinner, EarlyBird, Swiper | Loss: Americano

Thursday February 12, 2026

06:30 MST Unemployment Claims

Dinner | MGC | Late Short Expansion | Range held most of session; after the window closed price broke sharply lower with strong downside.
EarlyBird | NG | Dual Stop | Both sides of the range triggered and failed.
Americano | YM | Clean Long | Upside breakout.
Swiper | MNQ | Clean Short | Range rejection led to steady downside continuation.

Thursday Total: +2.94R | W–L–NT: 3–1–0
Wins: Dinner, Americano, Swiper | Loss: EarlyBird

Friday February 13, 2026

06:30 MST CPI.

Dinner | MGC | Clean Long | Break above range held with steady upside continuation.
EarlyBird | NG | Dual Expansion | Both sides of the range broke before upside continuation.
Americano | YM | Clean Short | Strong downside move before drifting back into the range.
Swiper | MNQ | Chop | Dual stop before direction resolved with a strong upside expansion.

Friday Total: +8.32R | W–L–NT: 3–1–0
Wins: Dinner, EarlyBird, Americano | Loss: Swiper

Week summary

Daily MFE totals
• Mon: +2.26R
• Tue: +6.54R
• Wed: +11.15R
• Thu: +2.94R
• Fri: +8.32R
Week total: +31.21R

Next Week

If price breaks the range and immediately slips back inside, assume it’s just a liquidity grab and cut it fast. If it breaks and shows real continuation, that’s when you can let the trade run. Follow the plan and keep risk calculated.

Red Folder next week:

  • Wed Feb 18, 12:00pm — FOMC Minutes: expect wick-city and sudden repricing.
  • Thu Feb 19, 6:30am — Claims (229K vs 227K): quick volatility pulse.
  • Fri Feb 20 — Cluster: 6:30am GDP (2.8% vs 4.4%) + Core PCE (0.3% vs 0.2%), then 7:45am Flash PMIs(Manufacturing 52.1, Services 52.8). Treat Friday as the main volatility day.

Read more